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Australia’s rare earths are becoming a case study in whether liberal market economies can successfully implement economic security and industrial policy in a new geoeconomic world order, Naoise McDonagh writes. Tech denial will remain a key pillar of US policy regardless of who the president is, but the current suite of security-focused measures won’t work without strong alliances, Emily de la Bruyère and Nathan Picarsic write. The National Press Foundation, sponsored by the Hinrich Foundation, is hosting a webinar to examine the tariff policies pursued in the first six months of the Trump administration. Also included: how to use the OECD’s 2025 inventory of export restrictions on industrial raw materials, and what approaches countries in the Asia-Pacific have taken to “reciprocal” tariffs.


TRADE AND GEOPOLITICS

Australia’s minerals lie between economic security and liberal markets

Naoise McDonagh Naoise McDonagh
24 June 2025
mcdonagh-australia-rare-earths-min

Australia’s rare earths are becoming a case study for whether liberal market economies can successfully implement economic security policy in our new geoeconomic world order. Canberra has taken steps to reduce exposure to the global dependence on China’s near-monopoly on these and other critical minerals. Ultimately, Naoise McDonagh of Edith Cowan University writes, industrial policy is becoming mainstream even in traditionally market-led advanced economies and policy makers have to wholly reconceptualize the way market-driven commercial ecosystems work. 

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TECH AND TRADE

The need for alliances in US tech denial strategy

Emily de la Bruyère Emily de la Bruyère
Nathan Picarsic Nathan Picarsic

24 June 2025

dl-bruyere-picarsic-us-tech-denial

Tech denial to restrict China’s access to critical technologies is likely to remain one of the key pillars of US policy regardless of who’s in the White House. But the current suite of security-focused measures will likely come up short, Horizon Advisory’s Emily de la Bruyère and Nathan Picarsic write, as they increase the payoff for circumventing the American blockade. Defenses must be coordinated across jurisdictions and the airtight execution of supply chain restrictions requires international allies.

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WEBINAR

The Trump tariff strategy report card – six months in

npf-webinar-trump-six-months-in-16-9

No period in recent history has upended international markets, supply chains, corporate investment, and labor more than the tariff policies pursued in the first six months of the second Trump administration. To take stock of the administration’s strategy, the National Press Foundation, sponsored by the Hinrich Foundation, will host a webinar featuring Deborah Elms, Head of Trade Policy of the Hinrich Foundation, and David Lynch, Global Economics Correspondent of The Washington Post. Register here now.

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HOW TO USE IT

htui-june-2025-oecd-export-restrictions-raw-materials

OECD Inventory of Export Restrictions on Raw Materials 2025

 

As technologies develop, geopolitical tensions flare, and demand for key materials grows, economies are increasingly regulating access to inputs critical for cutting-edge production. From 2009 to 2023, such restrictions increased fivefold, disrupting supply chains and highlighting the need for less restrictive alternatives. Explore our analysis of the latest edition of the OECD’s Inventory which examines what restrictions economies are imposing to understand where supply chain chokeholds are likely to occur and how to address rules governing them in the future.

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ASEAN AND TARIFFS

Asia’s evolving trade diplomacy

Doris Liew Doris Liew
24 June 2025
liew-evolving-trade-diplomacy-asia-min

When examining the responses of countries to “reciprocal” tariffs, regional reactions converge around three strategies: negotiation, retaliation, or a wait-and-see approach. Malaysia’s Institute for Democracy and Economic Affairs assistant research manager Doris Liew analyses the region’s export profiles to explain these varying responses.

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