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Despite an onslaught of the most comprehensive economic sanctions ever imposed, the Russian economy appears to have recovered largely unscathed. Using an econometric analysis of global trade data, Oxford Economics takes a deep dive into how trade sanctions are failing. As the G7 wraps up its Japan summit on Sunday, Stephen Olson decodes the group's communiqué. And skepticism abounds on how well the US will lead APEC as it takes the group's chair this year, our guests say on a special edition of the Current Accounts podcast. Plus, our latest guide on how to use the OECD’s paper on green transition, and a recap of seven shockwaves battering global trade.


DEEP DIVE

The big leak: How sanctions are failing 

Oxford Economics Oxford Economics
23 May 2023
WP-OE-Trade-sanctions

Economic sanctions on Russia are not working. In a deep dive we commissioned from Oxford Economics on the effectiveness of trade sanctions, the case study on Russia showed that while Russian trade fell sharply on the initial imposition of sanctions after its invasion of Ukraine, imports and exports have largely recovered to pre-war levels as China, India, and others find new ways to keep trading with Moscow. The econometric analysis, based on our Hinrich-IMD Sustainable Trade Index, shows the geopolitical stalemate that stems from ineffective policing of sanctions.

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NEW ARTICLE

Decoding what the G7 just said about China

Stephen Olson Stephen Olson
23 May 2023
g-7-leaders-in-hiroshima-japan (1)

China was the talk of the G7 summit, which wrapped Sunday in Hiroshima. Our Senior Research Fellow Stephen Olson breaks down what the Group’s convoluted communiqué really means.

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NEW PODCAST

Doubts over America’s APEC leadership

National Bureau of Asian Research National Bureau of Asian Research
23 May 2023
Podcast - NBR - Assessing US Objectives for APEC 2023 - website (1)

In this special edition of Current Accounts, the Hinrich Foundation's podcast, former US congressman Charles Boustany leads a discussion on how things have changed since the last time Washington chaired APEC in 2011. This year, as the US again takes on the group’s chair, Washington will have to think hard about how it can show leadership in the Indo-Pacific, which is awaiting cues on how US economic engagement in the region might strategically change.

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HOW TO USE IT

OECD - Raw materials critical for the green transition

Raw materials critical for the green transition

 

Raw materials, including metals, minerals, and ores, are critical to building the “green” technologies and systems required for a transition away from dependency on fossil fuels. This OECD report examines economic dependencies for these resources. Learn how to apply the key insights with our guide.
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EVENT RECAP

Seven shockwaves battering global trade

20230509 - Stephen Olson Trade Talk - IMG_6954 (1)

The post-World War II economic order has undergone considerable shifts. In our  recently concluded open house, Senior Research Fellow Stephen Olson takes us through the seven shockwaves that threaten to change the existing rules-based trading system and make trade less global, more fragmented, and increasingly contentious.

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