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The Russian ports of Kozmino and Primorsk play a special role at the frontlines of Moscow’s war on Ukraine. They are major outlets of oil sales to China and India that are sapping Western and allied efforts to stop the conflict, Kieran Thompson writes. In Detroit, US negotiators celebrate a small advance for IPEF, but Stephen Olson advises us not to get too excited. While digital technologies may be expanding, policymakers have struggled to keep up, Stephanie Honey says. Plus, what we are reading, a webinar on the EU in US-China relations, and a recap of our recent panel on FDI. 


NEW ARTICLE

Dark waters: China and India’s secret lifelines to Russian oil

Kieran Thompson Kieran Thompson
30 May 2023
Thompson - Kozmino port-min (1)

Russia’s ports of Kozmino and Primorsk are at the epicenter of a black market pushing Russian crude oil prices above the US$60 sanctions cap imposed by Western and allied governments in their efforts to sap the Kremlin's ability to wage war on Ukraine. India-bound shipments from Primorsk have surged, and the International Energy Agency found 95% of oil exports from Kozmino, negotiated in secret, are breaching the price cap. Dragoman consultancy’s Kieran Thompson dives in.

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NEW ARTICLE

IPEF's baby steps

Stephen Olson Stephen Olson
30 May 2023
Olson - IPEF seals supply chain deal-min

Negotiators have reached agreement on the supply chain pillar, one of four underpinning the US-led Indo-Pacific Economic Framework. It’s a small triumph in an engagement strategy awash in doubt and confusion among its partners in the region. The successful conclusion of the supply chain pillar reflects a Herculean effort. It would however be premature to celebrate an IPEF victory.

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NEW ARTICLE

Regulators gonna regulate

Stephanie Honey Stephanie Honey
30 May 2023
Honey - The digital noodle bowl

While digital technologies may be ubiquitous, the rules applied to the digital economy remain disjointed. Governments are belatedly seeking to strengthen digital borders to retain national sovereignty on the internet, particularly through new rules that govern data flows. But, to paraphrase Taylor Swift, regulators gonna regulate, trade policy expert and former New Zealand trade negotiator Stephanie Honey writes.

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NEW READING LIST

WWR - FTAs

G7 focuses on economic security and coercion 

 

What do this year’s G7 outcomes say about the future of engagement between the G7 and the rest of the world, and where will their efforts lead? Is the dollar’s position as the global reserve currency truly under threat? Explore our reading list for the latest developments in global trade.

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UPCOMING WEBINAR

The role of the EU in the US-China rivalry

AFPC webinar - EUs role in the US-China rivalry

Renewing a 'united front' with America's allies to counter China has been a top priority for the Biden administration. But while the US and the EU have had a close working partnership, their interests and viewpoints are far from identical. Senior Research Fellow Stephen Olson decodes the policy priorities of the EU and the US in managing the rise of China.

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EVENT RECAP

Unlocking investments for ASEAN’s green growth 

Webinar recap - Unlocking Investments for ASEANs Green Growth (1)

Southeast Asia has developed rapidly over the past two decades and the region is one of the biggest recipients of FDI among emerging regions. What is the impetus for the region to accelerate greening and strategies for promoting investment for green growth? Watch this recap of a webinar organized by the EU-ASEAN Business Council and the Hinrich Foundation for more insights on the findings of a paper by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation (OECD) co-sponsored by us. 

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